WTXS32 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EWETSE) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EWETSE) WARNING NR 003    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   211200Z --- NEAR 23.9S 44.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.9S 44.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z --- 22.9S 44.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 23.6S 44.3E.
21JAN26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (EWETSE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 238
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WITH
AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS RAPIDLY
DETERIORATING OVER LAND IN SOUTHWESTERN MADAGASCAR. 15S IS FORECAST
TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD, FURTHER INLAND, OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. TERRAIN INTERACTION AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT
WILL BE THE MAIN FACTORS IN THE DISSIPATION OF 15S. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 999 MB.//
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